Game Win Rate & RNG Calculator
Win streak targets and gacha pull probability, computed exactly
Win Rate Target Calculator
Gacha & Pity Probability Calculator
What this calculator does
This calculator answers two questions every competitive and gacha gamer asks. First: how many matches do I need to win in a row to push my win rate to a target number? Second: if an item has a fixed drop rate, what is the real chance I get at least one copy in a given number of pulls?
Both answers are computed with exact formulas, not estimates. The win streak result solves (wins + x) / (games + x) = target, and the gacha result uses the standard probability rule P = 1 - (1 - p)^n, the same math behind pity systems in Genshin Impact, Mobile Legends events, and most loot boxes.
How to use this calculator
- For win rate: enter your current total matches, total wins, and the win rate you want to reach, then press Calculate win streak.
- The result shows the exact number of consecutive wins required, with the math spelled out so you can verify it.
- For gacha: enter the drop rate per pull as a percentage and how many pulls you plan to do, then press Calculate probability.
- The result shows the chance of getting at least one drop, the expected pulls per drop, and the pulls needed for a 50%, 90%, and 99% chance.
Tips for reading the numbers
- A target win rate above your current one always needs a clean streak; one loss changes the math, so re-run the calculator after every session.
- Expected pulls (1 divided by the drop rate) is an average, not a guarantee. Roughly half of all players will need more pulls than the 50% mark.
- If your game has a hard pity (a guaranteed drop at a fixed pull count), treat our number as the luck-only baseline; hard pity caps the worst case.
Frequently Asked Questions
We solve (wins + x) / (games + x) = target exactly and round up. Example: with 50 wins in 100 matches, reaching 60% requires 25 consecutive wins, because 75 / 125 = 60%.
It is the chance that n pulls produce one or more successes: 1 - (1 - p)^n. With a 1% rate and 100 pulls the chance is about 63.4%, not 100%.
Unless you have zero losses, no finite winning streak can make your win rate exactly 100%. The calculator tells you when a target is mathematically impossible.
Yes. The formulas are game-agnostic and apply to Mobile Legends ranked, Free Fire, Dota 2, and any gacha or loot box with a published drop rate.